Opening cases and unexpectedly receiving skins is one of the most exciting aspects of playing CS2. It is not only an opportunity to get unique and valuable skins but also an element of excitement that attracts both beginners and experienced players. But what is hidden behind this process? What are the real chances of getting rare skin? In this short guide, we will consider what to expect from opening cases.
What Are Cases And What Types of Skins Are There in CS2?
Cases in CS2 are virtual containers with a pre-determined number of skins by Valve. The case can contain both skins for firearms, knives, and gloves. All cases available in the game have one thing in common: rarity and value.
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Depending on rarity, skins differ not only visually but also monetarily. In total, the following rarity levels are available to players:
- Consumer Grade;
- Industrial Grade;
- Mil-Spec;
- Restricted;
- Classified;
- Covert;
- Knife, Gloves;
- Contraband.
The first two categories of skins, defined by the colors White and Blue, do not appear in cases. They are rewarded to players for their achievements in the game. And contraband skins can only be purchased on the market for real money.
Drop Chances When Opening CS2 Cases
Opening cases is a chance to get one of the items in it. Skins of different rarities have different CS2 (CS:GO) сase odds. They are as follows:
- Mil-Spec — 79.92%;
- Restricted — 15.98%;
- Classified — 3.2%;
- Covert — 0.64%;
- Exceedingly Rare — knives, gloves — 0.26%.
This means that when opening a case, there is almost a 79.92% chance that you will get one of the most common skins, and only one in 400 cases can drop a knife or gloves.
What is StatTrak?
In CS2, most skins are dropped by players with StatTrak support. This is a special version of the skin that allows players to track the kill count made with that weapon. The chance that skin will drop will have the StatTrak option is 1 in 10.
Skins with the StatTrak feature are usually more expensive. They are considered rarer and more desirable in the community.
Probability of Getting a Knife When Opening Cases in CS2
Now it’s time to consider knives, something that is a desired drop for every player in CS2. Knives are the rarest category and often cost hundreds or even thousands of dollars.
Valve indicates the probability of getting a knife as 0.26%. This is approximately 1 chance out of 400 cases. However, this does not mean that the knife will drop on the 400th attempt – this is always a random process, and you can get lucky with the first case or not even after 1000 openings.
Some cases, especially those focused on knives (for example, CS:GO Weapon Case), can contain specific models, so the choice of case also affects the potential value of the skin.
Chances of Getting Gloves When Opening Cases
Glove skins also fall under the category of extremely rare and have the same drop rate as knives – 0.26%. However, gloves can only drop from cases where they are on the list of rare skins. These can be Operation Broken Fang Case, Recoil Case, Snakebite Case. Before opening a case, make sure that it actually contains gloves.
Chances of Getting Stickers
Stickers are another element for the individualization of weapons. Like skins, they are also divided into categories. There are more valuable options with a lower chance of dropping, and there are more common ones. Here are the categories of stickers available in CS2:
- High-Grade (blue) – 80%;
- Remarkable (purple) – 16%;
- Exotic (pink) – 3.2%;
- Extraordinary – 0.641%.
Extraordinary stickers are the rarest and most valuable, especially when it comes to popular collections such as tournaments or collaborations.
Should You Open Cases in CS2?
Cases in CS2 are a mix of emotions, adrenaline, and luck. The opportunity to get a knife, gloves, or a high-quality sticker attracts players from all over the world.
But it is worth evaluating the opening of cases realistically because:
- 0.64% chance of getting a Covert skin;
- 0.26% chance of a knife, gloves;
- 10% chance of StatTrak.
Most drops are low-value skins that can still be sold or traded. If you want to become the owner of a specific skin, especially an expensive and rare one, then it is best to consider buying it.
Wrapping it Up
The chances of getting CS2 cases and their contents depend on many factors: case type, rarity class, availability of the StatTrak feature, and, of course, your luck. Although the probability of getting truly rare skins is very low, this is what makes the process so exciting.
If you decide to open cases, then focus on cases with a high ROI.
